On October 19 British Columbians will go to the polls and decide whether the NDP government should be allowed to stay in office after six years, or to bring back the Conservatives after a century in the political wilderness. It’s not a choice most British Columbians, myself included, want to make but, with the collapse of the Liberal/B.C. United party, it’s the only real choice we have.
In an earlier blog I identified four issues that will affect my vote: the drug accelerated disorder on the streets of cities and towns across B.C.; the failing healthcare system; our response to climate change and managing the province’s finances. Subsequently, I wrote a blog criticizing the government’s approach to reconciliation with native bands, particularly acknowledging aboriginal title over all of Haida Gwai, as creating uncertainty over the ownership of Crown lands as well as land that is privately held in B.C., and so I include it in the issues guiding my vote in the upcoming election.
Anyone who lives in or near the centre of a major town or city in B.C. confronts the results of policy failures concerning illegal drugs and homelessness every time they step out their front door. And, in the past few years, the consequences have moved from being unsightly to being downright dangerous. Although we are constantly told violent crime is going down in Vancouver, that is cold comfort when we regularly encounter people experiencing some kind of drug induced psychosis on our streets and in our neighbourhoods, and against the backdrop of recent horrendous stranger attacks in the Vancouver.
These problems have worsened during the six years of NDP governance, certainly because of the increased availability of toxic drugs on the streets, but also because the government has pursued an approach fixated on the single metric of keeping drug addicts alive. In fact, it has gone so far as to decriminalize drugs in B.C., something it has partially reversed after the chaos it unleashed prompted a public outcry that threatened its re-election, and placing vending machines with drug paraphenalia in hospitals and other public facilities. Even what seemed like a fairly innocuous approach a few years ago, the opening of a safe injection site in the Downtown Eastside, has, with the opening of similar such sites elsewhere in the city and province, caused the disorder, pettty crime and random violence to metastacize across other neighbourhoods and communities. This is madness that should have been obvious prior to our descent into the apparently bottomless pit of drug accommodation but, even if not then, after failure upon failure in curbing drug overdoses, deaths, property crime and random violence.
Both David Eby and John Rustad are now advocating for a different approach to the issue of illegal drugs and street disorder and, in some remarkable ways, their approaches seem to be converging. A consensus has emerged (at least between the NDP and the Conservatives) that we need to significantly ramp up facilities for treatment and to diminish the likelihood of “get out of jail free” responses when violent and persistent offenders appear before the courts. Both leaders now advocate for greater use of involuntary detention and treatment.
So, who should we trust with this file? Well, in David Eby’s case, he was opposed to these measures before he was for them, and then was against them, and, finally, is now for them again. For the time being at least. I’m all for people changing their positions in response to new information but, in his case, this epiphany seems suspiciously motivated by politics and, once the election is over, I’m not at all sure it will continue with a re-elected NDP government. In fact, given the considerable influence within the coalition that is the NDP of those who have championed the rights and interests of the drug addicts over those of the rest of us , I suspect the position of a new NDP government will settle back into the same failed approach we have witnessed for the past six years. So I notch one for the Conservatives because I do believe on this issue they will show stronger leadership and will put the interests of the general public over those who have chosen to use illicit drugs.
The second issue is how to change our healthcare system so the obvious shortcomings we witness daily are addressed. This happens to be something I know a little about and I’m under no illusion either party has a straightforward and simple answer to issues concerning ER closures, people without family doctors and waitlists for everything from diagnostics to procedures. And I commend the NDP government for some of its policies, particularly those aimed at increasing the number of doctors and nurses in B.C. although I can’t help feel it’s too little, too late. On the other hand, previous provincial governments, both Liberal and NDP, ignored the warning signs of the coming crisis and, in some cases, took actions that made it worse. And things are going to get much worse before they get better because of factors mostly beyond the control of governments: the Baby Boom generation entering that part of our lives when our needs for medical care rise exponentially; the retirement of Baby Boom physicians, nurses and other healthcare professionals; and the relentless immigration into the province. All of this was predictable but, as I said earlier, their’s lots of blame to go around on this file.
While I commend the NDP government for many of its initiatives responding to these pressures, none of them are sufficient to get us past the next ten to twenty years. For that we need a fundamental rethink of how we provide medical care in B.C. and how it is paid for. This, of course, is the third rail of Canadian politics, the one where anyone going near it is instantly labelled an enemy of Medicare and/or un-Canadian. The people doing the labelling often refer to themselves as “the friends of Medicare” although their actions stifling any real debate about the fundamentals of the Medicare system in Canada run the real risk of loving it to death because the current course is unsustainable. Perhaps because of its close association with the founding of Medicare in Canada, the NDP seems especially paralyzed in these conversations and regularly weaponizes the arguments against anyone suggesting fundamental change. So I am interested in the Conservative’s proposals that would provide wait time guarantees with the escape valve of publicly funded and privately provided care. I also think John Rustad’s ruminations on whether, and if so how, people should be able to purchase insurance to get care when it is not readily available in the public system is worth pursuing. By the way, these proposals will cost money, probably a lot, which is why the NDP claims that the Conservatives will cut funding for healthcare is such a lie. So, again, advantage Conservatives.
The third issue is how the government is going to respond to man made climate change and, on this one, the NDP had me squarely in its corner with the carbon tax which experts tell us is the best, most effective way to encourage people to make choices that reduce their CO2 footprint. Of course, as I stated in earlier blogs and posts, the carbon tax only works if all the funds collected are returned to the people who paid them in the first place, thus providing a clear market incentive to make other expenditure decisions and, in B.C., the NDP government undermined this essential principle by retaining large amounts of the tax revenues and using it as a cash cow for anything that, even vaguely, related to the environment.
My calculation on this factor was completely upended when David Eby announced that a new NDP government would abolish the carbon tax if re-elected and it was abolished federally, as seems likely. He cited the “collapse of the public consensus” supporting the tax as his reason for the changed position. Well, yes, it is probably fair to say that consensus has collapsed but that is at least partly because of actions of the NDP government as mentioned above. More to the point, ” collpase of the public consensus” sounds suspiciously like it was going to cost the NDP votes and, perhaps, the election. So, rank political cynicism where, instead of defending the tax as good environmental policy or, better, promising to return the tax to its original form where the funds are returned to the taxpayer, far easier politically to simply join the “axe the tax” mob.
I now have no idea what either party plans to do in the absence of the carbon tax to meet our obligations on the environment file. On the one hand, we have a party leader who originally seemed to be denying the reality of man made climate change (although he does seem to have moderated his position on this) and, on the other, a leader who, despite seeming to believe the climate scientists, is willing to throw the best climate policy under the bus to increase his chance of getting re-elected. So, I have a draw, and not a good one, on this issue.
The fourth issue is whether, and if so how, the government balances the provincial budget. I have a number of left leaning friends who regularly tell me with all sincerity government deficits don’t matter for any number of exotic reasons. This leaves me wondering if we’ve lived in parallel universes for the past seventy five years. Of course government deficits matter in all manner of ways, whether it’s upward pressure on itnerest rates, increasing amounts of taxes being paid as interest, limits on what the government can do and squeezing out the private sector in credit markets, amongst other things.
The Conservatives say they will balance the budget although they don’t say how or over what period. The NDP is conspicuously silent on the issue which isn’t surprising given its record. The NDP government led by John Horgan understood the need to be fiscally conservative, spending within the province’s means. That’s one of the reasons I voted for it in the last election. But, as soon as John Horgan retired and was replaced by David Eby, everything changed, most dramatically with the rush to spend the billions they were left as surplus before it could be applied to the provincial debt. And that pattern continues, resulting in the downgrading of the province’s credit rating and dire warnings of fiscal problems in the not distant future.
So, on this issue, I’m faced with the Conservatives at least acknowedging the need to balance the budget and the NDP promising more of the same. On balance, it’s advantage Conservatives.
The last issue is the approach to reconciliation with native bands in B.C. In an earlier blog I expressed concern over ceding Aboriginal Title to all of Haida Gwaii to the Haida nation, believing as I do it sets a precedent for the rest of Crown land in B.C. which constitutes approximately 94% of the land mass of British Columbia. It also introduces uncertainty over the status of privately owned land in the province. I understand the need to achieve some kind of reconciliation with the native inhabitants of B.C. although, as I have said elsewhere, their treatment is consistent with, if not more benign, than the treatment of all other peoples overwhelmed or conquered by another group throughout human history. What I do not support is the position that, because they were here before the Europeans and later Asians, their views should be paramount when it concerns land use in B.C. Native people make up less than six percent of the population of the province and creating a system where that six percent trumps the interests and wishes of the other ninety four percent is both undemocratic and guaranteed to lead to future conflict. In my view, the final decisions on the use of Crown Lands should always reside with the Crown. That is the position of the Conservatives but certainly not that of the NDP. So, again, point to the Conservatives.
Based on the forgoing it might seem inevitable I would support the Conservatives. If only it were that simple. Campaigns matter as do the views and personalities of the individuals running for office. I am certainly turned off by the kind of ads the NDP is running, reminding me as they do of the behaviour of the Social Credit Party in its endless wars against the CCF and the NDP. Some of you know I was very active in the NDP over fifty years ago and held a number of leadership positions within that party, and it was always important to me we behaved differently than the Socreds, not peddling lies, exaggerations and conspiracy theories. I suppose some of this was my youthful naivete and my tendency to see the world as a binary place with good and evil absolutes, but I do believe that party did try to hold to a higher plane and I can’t help feel some of its leaders from those days would be disappointed by the NDP’s tactics in this election so far.
On the other hand, some of the charges and innuendo the NDP has been throwing around are apparently true. Up to this point, John Rustad had been a bit of blank slate for me. I was aware he was kicked out of the Liberal/B.C. United caucus because of his views on climate change but that was about all. I was also aware the provincial Conservatives had attracted some candidates who were, shall we say, out of the mainstream but assumed, after the effective merger with the Liberals/B.C. United, they would be jettisoned and replaced with more centrist candidates. I don’t know if that has happened.
What I do know is that John Rustad has allied himself with those who deny the reality of man made climate change or, at least, the idea we can do anything about it. I was also aware he had expressed sympathy for those healthcare workers who refused to get vaccinated during the COVID pandemic and felt they should be reinstated with back pay. While I fully support the idea that healthcare workers should be required to be vaccinated, especially during a once in a century pandemic, and don’t see anything wrong with their being fired for refusing to do so, this was not a deal breaker for me. But then the NDP dropped their exquisitely timed depth charge on days three and four of the campaign: the video clips showing John Rustad addressing those former employees and seeming to deny the efficacy of vaccination while expressing regret he had received three COVID vaccines. What’s more, they showed him saying he bought into some of the weirdest conspiracy theories around the pandemic, specifically that the vaccination program wasn’t designed to create herd immunity but, instead, was somehow about “controlling the population” (pardon the expression but: “WTF?”). Also, as part of his attack on vaccination and B.C.’s response to the pandemic, he singles out Dr. Bonnie Henry as the author of much of this alleged malfeasance and pledges to fire her if he is elected Premier. I disagree with Dr. Henry on the province’s appoach to the toxic drug/overdose crisis and, if a new government takes a radically different approach than what she’s recommending she may not be the best person in the job of Provincial Health Officer, but that’s a far cry from saying her performance during the pandemic warrants dismissal. I would argue the exact opposite, citing evidence that B.C. performed as well or better than any other jurisdiction in Canada during the pandemic, and that was at least partly because of her inspired leadership. This also reminds me of the reckless populism of our Alberta neighbours where the current Premier campaigned on exactly the same thing, i.e. firing the Provincial Health Officer for her role in leading the province’s respsponse to the pandemic. She was fired and the hounds baying for her scalp were temporarily sated. This is not the future I want for B.C.
This also prompted me to remember one of the other positions John Rustad took prior to his ascent to being the primary opposition leader. Specifically, his view that students in B.C. schools were being taught “what to think, not how to think” which is probably a distinction without a difference but does echo some of the MAGA gibberish around schooling and book burning in the United States. It appears that, if elected, he would reach into the classrooms and try to bend the curriculum to his will which, by the way, would simply mean teaching a different version of “what to think” or, worse, providing no instruction at all on some key subjects.
The narrative the Conservaties offer about John Rustad is that he’s a nice guy. In fact, one of their first ads features his wife detailing her struggle with cancer which resulted in her being unable to have children, and showcasing her husband as a loving, supportive spouse and uncle. That may well be but it doesn’t mean he wouldn’t implement measures that hurt many British Columbians. The closest comparison I can get may be with Bill Vander Zalm who was Premier from 1986 to 1991 and who allowed his conservative religious beliefs to intrude into the government’s response to the then surging AIDS epidemic, slowing and, in some cases, stopping an effective response. I have no doubt some British Columbians died because of that, and yet he seemed like a nice person (full disclosure here: I never met him).
So, here we are only a few weeks out from the election and faced with an almost impossible choice. On the one hand, we have an NDP government that has failed on several key issues and that, in the election, is showing the moral backbone of an amoeba while, on the other, we have a party leader who seems to ignore science and the best advice of experts, and who, as Premier, might take steps that could seriously hurt some British Columbians. I wish I lived in one of those ridings where former Liberal/B.C. United MLA’s are running as independents (is it too late to move to West Vancouver?) because the best possible outcome might be a minority government dependent upon those independents to govern.
So, I still have several weeks to make up my mind, several weeks where there will likely be more bombshells about John Rustad, where the NDP will abandon whatever long held “principled” positions in pursuit of votes, and where John Rustad might, just might, surprise us and set the record straight (although god knows how he can at this point).
One thing is certain though: I will vote and you should too.
Just sayin
GH
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